Hurricane Calvin, with its wind predicted to come in from Mexico to Kaʻū as a tropical storm next week, bringing heavy rain. Image from NOAA |
"Based on a blend of these estimates, the initial intensity is set to 85 kt for this advisory. Atmospheric and oceanic conditions continue to be conducive for additional strengthening, and model guidance suggests these conditions will persist for the next day or so. Based on Calvin's recent intensification, the forecast peak has been shifted up to 95 kt at 12-24 h, which is at the upper-end of the model guidance. The cyclone should then begin to move over cooler sea surface temperatures, and the deep-layer vertical wind shear is expected to gradually increase which should induce a weakening trend.
"The official forecast shows Calvin weakening beyond 24 houtd and, aside from a higher peak intensity, is very similar to the previous advisory. Calvin is moving westward at about 13 kt. The strong mid-level ridge centered over the southwestern United States is expected to steer the storm westward to west-northwestward through the forecast period. Model guidance remains generally well-clustered and the official track forecast is nudged slightly north of the previous advisory and lies a little south of the model consensus aids."
RAINFALL WAS ABOVE NORMAL FOR KAʻŪ COFFEE FARMERS AND RANCHERS in recent months, the higher than average precipitation also reaching north to Kona Coffee farms. The extra rain has benefited both the coffee and cattle industry. In June, the gauge at Kapāpala Ranch between Pāhala and Volcano, measured 4.07 inches, more than 2.5 times normal rainfall. Pāhala registered 2.64 inches, 28% above average June rainfall. Kahuku Ranch, between Ocean View and South Point Road, registered 4.19 inches, almost twice its normal June rainfall.
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An HFUU statement notes that the HFU State President Kaipo Kekona will be on hand, along with a visiting delegation from the National Farmers Union led by President Rob Larew. "The NFU delegation is visiting Hawaiʻi to learn more about our chapters, the unique issues that face farmers in Hawaiʻi, and to get to know our members. This will be their last stop on their journey across the islands following their visits to Oʻahu and Maui."
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See the July edition of The Kaʻū Calendar Newspaper
www.kaucalendar.com